Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005294 0.005860 0.006474 0.007191 0.008007 0.008911 0.009991
2025-07-13 0.004362 0.005135 0.006039 0.007182 0.008602 0.010323 0.012591
2025-07-20 0.003917 0.004804 0.005894 0.007351 0.009275 0.011766 0.015300
2025-07-27 0.003509 0.004439 0.005628 0.007288 0.009588 0.012730 0.017468
2025-08-03 0.003215 0.004175 0.005445 0.007284 0.009944 0.013756 0.019835
2025-08-10 0.002951 0.003917 0.005233 0.007201 0.010156 0.014574 0.021983
2025-08-17 0.002768 0.003751 0.005125 0.007244 0.010540 0.015676 0.024728
2025-08-24 0.002575 0.003553 0.004949 0.007160 0.010709 0.016445 0.027020
2025-08-31 0.002372 0.003321 0.004703 0.006941 0.010632 0.016791 0.028606
2025-09-07 0.002244 0.003189 0.004594 0.006923 0.010873 0.017693 0.031348
2025-09-14 0.002185 0.003157 0.004632 0.007141 0.011530 0.019398 0.035935
2025-09-21 0.002056 0.003007 0.004474 0.007016 0.011572 0.019982 0.038342
2025-09-28 0.001927 0.002854 0.004307 0.006877 0.011598 0.020584 0.041017
2025-10-05 0.001834 0.002753 0.004220 0.006870 0.011872 0.021718 0.045149
2025-10-12 0.001782 0.002713 0.004229 0.007030 0.012477 0.023609 0.051491
2025-10-19 0.001695 0.002610 0.004122 0.006970 0.012642 0.024594 0.055833
2025-10-26 0.001625 0.002531 0.004050 0.006966 0.012917 0.025858 0.061217
2025-11-02 0.001548 0.002436 0.003944 0.006888 0.013026 0.026760 0.065840
2025-11-09 0.001496 0.002379 0.003902 0.006929 0.013392 0.028316 0.072777
2025-11-16 0.001430 0.002295 0.003804 0.006849 0.013485 0.029227 0.078025
2025-11-23 0.001351 0.002182 0.003648 0.006642 0.013271 0.029340 0.080780
2025-11-30 0.001303 0.002124 0.003588 0.006625 0.013489 0.030596 0.087711
2025-12-07 0.001287 0.002122 0.003633 0.006831 0.014251 0.033428 0.101119